Halloooo!

I am not very good at making long stories short - or short stories short - but I will do my best here...

Since February 2012 I've been developing a concept of a smartphone app that allows businesses to offer loyalty points to repeat customers via their smartphones.

Over the next few weeks/months/years I'll be documenting a lot of my progress, my hiccups and mishaps, my successes and failures, the dilemmas I have to face in the short term and the musings I have about the (hypothetical) long-term future of the business.

The blog will express my thoughts on team-building & people management, project management, software development, product development, market research and.

So read on and I hope you find this useful/interesting...

Wednesday, 11 July 2012

Stamply: Origins...

This blog is about the business development of Stamply, as opposed to the even higher level conceptual development I previously spoke about or the lower level software development.

Below is a bunch of links to websites of similar services to what I envision Stamply to be and also a few articles collected over the past few months. Skip to the bottom of this post if you want to just browse some similar businesses and articles. This post is for people interested in understanding the background of Stamply and all of the different routes to market and software solutions that I have considered.

At first, what we were thinking about was a mobile payment app that allowed people to order their lunch on their phone before before they arrived so they wouldn't waste time in a queue. The idea was that cashiers would get the orders on a tablet or phone and be preparing the order for the time specified by the consumer. Here is a business in Australia that does this, which is integrated into the POS. This was not really serious as a potential business, it was more of an exercise for me to get out and start talking to people about potential services, a way for me to gather information about the market as a whole.

Then we found that you could set up a mobile payment solution with existing infrastucture: Here and here are examples of this being tried. These businesses themselves won't take off because it requires additional hardware and they are too small to ship out the hardware to enough merchants, but it is interesting on an academic level because this kind of model will exist in the near future.

The point of this was to figure out how to get a consumer to take out their phone at point-of-sale, because my belief is that 'mobile payments' is a gimic until it actually does something fundamentally more than cash. The idea that mobile payments is more convenient that cash is a myth produced by Telcoms and large tech companies because they will benefit so much from it, not merchants or consumers. This article sums up my view on mobile payments*. I still believe that in a few years we will all be paying with our phones, just in a different way than normal cash.

So far all of this is academic. I was walking around businesses for one or two days a week asking for a sit-down and a chat about some of these ideas. The types of businesses I was speaking to were small independent retailers or those with small chains of between 2 -`10 shops. I also talked to the managers in many franchisees, but not the franchises or chains with more centralised control. I counted 80 businesses and marked the 30 businesses I thought gave us the most feedback to target for any testing phase we might have in the future.

Overwhelmingly, loyalty and customer retention is the biggest problem. There are not enough customers on the high-street to maintain the number of retail outlets we have, many of whom are stuck in upward-only rent agreements.

Every time I speak about this concept to people the first comment is: "Go for the chains, one sale there and you're sorted!" But for me, the opportunity has always been in the small independents. That is where you can improve customer retention and increase a merchants ability to discount effectively by identifying the particular consumer and how many times they have returned to the store over a long period and bought something*.

The chains will introduce their own systems, but independents don't have this ability. In a few years, though, this type of system will be ubiquitous, and therefore it will be necessary for independents to copy the chains in order to compete in terms of discounts. They will also have to join each other, or other businesses not directly competing with each other, in order to increase the value of their loyalty offerings against the chains and franchises.

When we began trying to work out how the system might work it was an enormous struggle to figure out how to secure the system without the need to put a tablet computer beside the cash register or a smartphone in the waiter's hand. Only a few places said that another device behind the till was actually an issue, but their feedback, and that from other successful entrepreneurs, was enough dissuade us from fully moving in this route.

That problem leads me to the problem of customer acquisition. It has to be easy to set up, otherwise we won't attract the merchants in enough numbers to grow. Forgetting about the technology for a while, this market is too fragmented if you take away the larger chains and franchises, which was not my target when during market research (although I have not discounted them, I just don't believe that is where the real opportunity is).

The assumption here is that it impossible to get these merchants onto the same system, and therefore it impossible to make consumers download the same app, so loyalty among independent merchants will always be fragmented and local unless one of the big tech/web marketing companies like Google or Apple, Groupon or Living Social or Paypal takes up the challenge.

But if we can develop a system that the merchants can set up and implement for free in 15 minutes, then we can upsell them the secure paid version with deeper analysis of their customers' buying habits.

Looking at the market for a minute, everyone is trying to discount and there is underlying pressure from rent and costs that prevents retailers from discounting too much. But the main problem with discounting, as is evidenced by people's experience of Group deal websites, is the fact that when you discount you can't guarantee return custom. Retailers hate discount hunters! But, in theory, if the retailer can guarantee that you'll return, by encouraging you to pay in bulk in advance (as I do with my dinner every day) or recording the sale in some fashion, then they can offer deep discounts. As I said before, I get my meal for €3.30 in Temple Bar because I pay in advance for 30 meals, which is an up front €100.

So let us say that I walked into a random independent coffee shop and said "will you give me a discount if I come to your shop every day I get a coffee for the next year?" He would say "No!" but not because it is not in his interests to offer discounts, but because he has no guarantee that I am telling the truth.

Now, let us say the same thing but with a qualifier: "will you give me a discount if I come to your barber every time I get a haircut for the next year and there was a means of guaranteeing without doubt that I completed my side of the bargain?" In today's market the answer would invariably be "Yes!"

So (still forgetting about the technology) let us say that this coffee shop set up a system where in a two week period, buying 7 coffees gives you a free one, which is a 12.5% discount, but the consumer has no opportunity to shop around for other discounts on their coffee purchases based upon loyalty because of the time-frame of the deal. Our merchant gets all of their custom for that period, and potential further custom in the following weeks. Further, what if the discount increased for loyal custom over longer time-frames:, like two free coffees for buying 12 coffees over three weeks, which is a 14.3% discount.

Continuing on the same path:

within 1 month - buy 15 coffees and get 3 free - 16.7% discount
3 months - 45 for 15 free - 25% off
6 months - 90 for 45 free - 33.33% off
1 year - 180 for 120 free - 40% off

The merchant is cutting his/her margin but only offering the discount after the consumer has fulfilled his/her side of the bargain by becoming a loyal customer over a long period. Every time the consumer is eligible for a free product they are encouraged to defer to the next longest period in order to receive a greater discount. This is great for the merchant's cashflow as it is much cheaper credit than a bank overdraft or loan and is very unlikely that every consumer will come looking for their freebie at the same time (unless the euro collapses, in which case people will have bigger things to worry about than their free coffees).

Customer Acquisition:

The fact that the service is free and can be used in conjunction with the old stamp cards until enough of the merchants regular customers migrate for it to be worth investing in the secure paid version makes set up a lot more simple.

By allowing merchants to combine their loyalty offerings with other merchants that they are not directly competing with, i.e. a baker, a butcher and a barber on one high-street, we would be able to decrease sales costs in local areas and among businesses in the same grouping. This is done by backing the cost of stamp against the euro, i.e. the merchants giving the products and rewards a specific euro value.

This part I can elaborate upon later. We haven't really mapped out the technical details of allowing merchants to join their schemes, but it has potential.

Thank you for reading and here are many of the other businesses in this space and articles about them.
http://www.bellycard.com/ and http://m.techcrunch.com/2012/05/25/loyalty-startup-belly-hits-1-millionth-check-in-active-merchants-say-belly-check-ins-top-foursquare/?icid=tc_home_art&
http://corp.rewardloop.com and http://www.techcrunch.com/2012/05/09/rewardloop-series-a/?icid=tc_home_art& and http://blogs.vancouversun.com/ 2012/05/09/ vancouvers-rewardloop-gets-its- own-reward-1-million-in-invest ment/
http://stampt.com/ how-it-works/ and http:// www.entrepreneur.com/ article/220547 and http://www.youtube.com/ watch?v=-at5z6KN8Cw
http://www.charleshudson.net/ how-many-companies-can-the-loca l-rewards-and-loyalty-space-su pport
http://www.punchkeeper.com/
http://www.punchcard.com/
http://www.spoton.com/
http://www.tapviva.com/

https://www.orderaheadapp.com/

http://www.tagtile.com/

http://www.badgein.com/

http://www.getpunchd.com/

https://www.perkville.com/
http://www.chatterfly.com/
http://www.funpunch.me/ funpunch/
http://www.ecoffeecard.com.au/
http://www.techcrunch.com/2012/05/22/with-mobile-app-cardify-the-founder-of-ad-ly-takes-on-his-next-challenge-improving-customer-loyalty/?icid=tc_home_art&
http://www.digitaltrends.com/mobile/apple-unveils-passbook-app/
https://www.thelevelup.com/ mobile and http://www.techcrunch.com/2012/06/07/levelup-raises-12m/?icid=tc_home_art&
http://www.techcrunch.com/2012/05/29/five-stars-hits-1-3-million-check-ins-emerging-as-a-quiet-giant-in-customer-loyalty/?icid=tc_home_art&
http:// www.mobilecommercedaily.com/ 2012/05/25/ target-bolsters-in-store-sales- via-location-based-rewards-app
http://www.techcrunch.com/2012/04/27/barely-3-months-post-launch-loyalty-app-punchcard-live-in-15m-locations-nears-profitability/
http://www.techcrunch.com/2012/05/01/grubhub-debuts-orderhub-a-food-delivery-and-order-management-android-tablet-app-for-restaurants/
http://techcrunch.com/2012/05/ 08/ mobile-payments-platform-square -finds-a-foothold-at-art-fairs -and-farmers-markets/
http://www.Tabbedout.com/
http://www.techcrunch.com/2012/06/30/nfc-is-great-but-mobile-payments-solve-a-problem-that-doesnt-exist/
http://www.techcrunch.com/2012/06/20/blockbeacon-iphone/
http://www.techcrunch.com/2012/06/30/nfc-is-great-but-mobile-payments-solve-a-problem-that-doesnt-exist/
http://www.techcrunch.com/2012/05/22/mirth-launches-to-offer-local-deals-without-the-dreaded-groupon-effect/?icid=tc_home_art&
http://www.techcrunch.com/ 2011/10/05/ coming-soon-to-a-store-near-you -tagtile-a-square-like-mobile- loyalty-service/

* Apple's new loyalty product on the iPhone is evidence that this is correct. They have not copied Google Wallet (which has struggled to take off), because they realise that getting a person to take out their phone at point-of-sale is a behavioural problem, not a technical one, and a basic payment app won't get people to do this. Siri was a gimic in the same sense. People think they want it but their actual behaviour when they have it tells the true story.

* I have to stress now that this has nothing to do with check-ins or social media. From the beginning, these have been peripheral to what we are trying to do, additional attractive potential features, not part of the core functionality. We are concentrating on getting a consumer to take his phone out at point of sale in order to record the sale, not the fact that (s)he was in the store. That is why this is only vaguely similar to FourSquare, which does something completely different as part of its core functionality.
* A product can mean a 'hot drink', a 'sandwiche with three fillings' or 'any purchase over €10'

Wednesday, 4 July 2012

Stamply - what we're about!


His is a blog post about what “Stamply” – or whatever we end up calling it! – is, how it works and what we envision for its future. I’m going to first ask you to open your mind a little, so I can give a little background to where my ideas come from.

I spend a lot of time thinking about credit and value systems, from finance to religion, and I think that most people assume that our credit system is much more fixed and foundational than it really is. The truth is that our real credit system, and the reason central banks can print money without backing it with a physical commodity, is relatively recent. Isaac Newton invented the first Warden of the Mint, in London, to produce coinage with cheap metals so that they didn’t have to distribute the valuable metals, which were being sent across to the Netherlands, scratched and reduced and sent back – legally, at the time – due to discrepancies between how they measured a unit – for a profit. This was syphoning off gold from the crown of England. 

The new coinage was based upon the confidence that the crown could back up the denominated value of the coin with a real commodity – which was gold. This act eventually allowed central banks to break from the gold standard in the 20th century and back an entire currency purely on confidence in the system – which was considered madness by many sane and sober individuals at the time.

Before Isaac Newton, another example of financial engineering that helped to produce our current financial system was the tally stick – which is also gave us the expression ‘to tally up’ in ledgers, balance sheets and common parlance. The tally stick was a stick that was notched and then cut in half, directly down the middle. 

It was impossible to forge either side of the stick to fit neatly into the other side with the correct notches – at the time atleast – so a king would go around to his lords and cut out a number of notches, representing the amount of tax the lord owed him for this year, and would take this back as proof and a guarantee that he would receive the correct tax later. If the king started a war and need cash up front, he would sell his half of the tally sticks to merchants for slightly less than the tax collectable based upon the notches and with a note of when the tax was due. When the tax was due, the merchant could bring his half of the tally stick to the lord, match them together and collect his earnings. This was an early form of government debt.

A number of other forms of credit are your family name, or your membership of a religion, upholding certain sustainable or “good” values, or loyalty schemes, etc… Really, credit is just information and guarantees of deferred reward for particular activities or in exchange for an advance payment.

With new technologies come new forms of currency, and two of the biggest technological advances over the past century have been the computer and the internet… and by extension, the smartphone. This computer in our pocket has the ability to transfer credit and record debt much more efficiently than a tally stick. We can even create our own currencies, for other smartphone users to distribute between each other, based upon the fact that we can back up the currency with something as valuable later. In principle, we can all be central banks because we have powerful computers in our pockets and the cloud at our finger-tips.

For more information on this subject, watch this: http://www.thersa.org/events/video/vision-videos/the-future-of-money

So… now that I have laid some foundations, this is what Stamply is about, in a nutshell.

It’s a recession, and in retail, loyalty is the key to survival! Customers are looking for savvy ways to save money and are increasingly organising their lives around their smartphones. But to reward loyalty efficiently, SMEs need a long term record of cash custom, including identity and purchase history. Other digital loyalty schemes require complex additional software and hardware with painful setup costs. With Stamply, an SME can set up in 15 minutes with no additional hardware to start collecting customer information and increasing customer retention immediately!

This allows consumers to collect loyalty points with multiple retailers via their smartphones and for retailers increase customer retention though their own long-term secure loyalty schemes.
For businesses:
Increased customer retention
Setting up a digital relationship with customers
Long term record of custom
For consumers:
Too many stamp cards!!!
They are easy to forget, which means they often pile up on a windowsill or in a drawer at work!
They can each only carry one or two different deals or offers!
I want a greater variety of larger deals for my loyal custom!

There are many similar or identical services being built around the world. Unlike any competitor we have found, we will back the value of a stamp against the normal currency so that retail businesses can join and separate their loyalty schemes with each other as easily as you “friend” or “unfriend” someone on Facebook.

The difference:
We are going to allow retail businesses to join and separate their schemes with each other as easily as a Facebook user “friends” and “unfriends” another. The reason for this is to create a network or “viral” affect among customers of our service in order to decrease the cost of customer acquisition. When we achieve sales on particular high-streets or in particular franchises or other business groupings, we can concentrate our sales strategy on the associated businesses, which are more likely to sign up.

This means that a consumer could, in theory, collect a stamp at a barber one day, and use it in the butcher across the road the next, and vice versa. Businesses will be able to see the amount and value of stamps they are distributing and compare them to the value and number of rewards they are distributing. In theory, businesses would, on average, be distributing slightly less rewards than stamps, because there would always be un-redeemed stamps in the accounts of the consumers. And because the value of the stamps would be backed with a fixed value against the normal currency (although they would only be useful in specific businesses), if a business was distributing too many stamps in one joint scheme they could disconnect easily with only minor inconvenience to the consumer.

u    Our primary market is retail businesses with existing paper loyalty schemes – particularly those who are: actively generating activity in their social media or online marketing strategy and businesses which are part of larger groups including
i)                    franchises,
ii)                   chambers of commerce,
iii)                 high-street retail bodies or
iv)                 chains
which means established business networks.

Our secondary market extends to all retail bodies, especially independent businesses who wish to establish mutually beneficial partnerships with other independents to compete with larger bodies such as chain stores or shopping malls.

We will develop a simple free service that allows businesses to distribute points without needing an extra device behind the till, but the full paid service will require a device behind the till in order to be secure.
Loyalty & customer analytics is a key advantage that smartphone payments have over cash or credit card. 

Without the loyalty element (or some other key advantage to consumers), smartphone payments - whether they take the form of NFC or some other system - are nothing more than a gimic, despite the obvious advantages to large technology companies, in IT Telcoms and banking.

This is why Apple have recently launched their own loyalty system for merchants instead of a service like Google Wallet, which is faltering. This is also why there are many people with our level of resources, as well as well funded established businesses, tackling the problem of how to put a device in the hand of a cash customer at point of sale, in order to facilitate the migration towards smartphone payments.

The final step:
Once businesses have established a digital connection with consumers, joining their schemes with other businesses on their high-street or in their franchise, it is trivial to allow consumers to transfer their own collected stamps to each other. So if I am a mother sending my son for a hair-cut, I can give him credits accepted by the barber. Since not all of your credits are invested in many different micro-systems and are only redeemable at set locations, if one shop closes, or one franchise, or two businesses disconnect from each other, it is no big deal. You just migrate towards businesses who you deem stable. The process of redeeming/collecting credits always remains simple and as intuitive as taking money out of your pocket and all of your credits are conveniently stored in the same app on your phone.

Call me crazy – I do try to stay grounded – but that is my vision for Stamply – or whatever we call it :-)

Next week...
Stamply - Origins